Ventilation and A/C System Design Adaptation: Frederik Winther
Is your building future weatherproof? Future weather will bring increasingly higher temperatures and humidity. This poses a challenge for the indoor climate in our buildings, as cooling and ventilation system design is based on historical weather data that is more than 10 years old. If we don’t change our design practices, our buildings will overheat. In this article, Frederik Winther – Senior Specialist Manager in Ramboll Denmark – along with his colleague Dragos Bogatu, explore the challenges that the future climate poses to our buildings’ ventilation and air conditioning systems and outline the change in approach to design and solutions needed to mitigate them. Frederik works for almost 12 years at Rambøll Danmark’s main office in Copenhagen. Started as a consulting engineer in the Department of Indoor Climate and HVAC. After 3 years at Rambøll he started his PhD project on Intelligent Glazed Facades. Did research on the potential of facades in future low energy buildings as well as experimental investigations on the performance of advanced facades. He has developed numerical calculation methodologies for advanced facade technologies such as PCM in glazing, dynamic g-/U-value technologies. Having been awarded his PhD degree he was employed at Rambøll working in greater depth with facade design and numerical analysis of thermal building simulations and CFD calculations. His work consists of consultancy work for many projects. We talk with Frederik about Ventilation and Air Condition System Design Adaptation to Climate Change and the subsequent challenges, approach and solutions. Original article was posted by Frederik in LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7208776945730265089/ Ventilation and air conditioning system design adaptation to climate change: Challenges, approach, and solutions Future weather will bring increasingly higher temperatures and humidity. This poses a challenge for the indoor climate in our homes, but especially in large buildings, as cooling and ventilation system design is based on historical weather data that is more than 10 years old. If we don’t change our design practices, our buildings will overheat. A change in mindset but also policy recommendations are required. Expected changes in the Danish climate. Denmark’s future climate won’t only include more frequent storms, heatwaves, and heavy rainfall. It will also become warmer, with increased humidity. This is evident from DMI’s new Climate Atlas for Denmark’s weather [1] based on projections from the UN’s climate panel and Aalborg University, Department of the Built Environment, covering the period from 2030 to 2100. Annual temperatures are expected to rise by over 3°C. Looking at the number of heating degree days (HDD) – a measure of coldness – they will decrease by almost 30%, from 3319 HDD in the period 2001-2010 to 2271 HDD in 2090. Humidity will also increase significantly, as shown in Figure 1, based on data projections from IPCC [2], [3]. The number of hours per year with water content higher than the current 12.5 g/kg (which we currently design our ventilation systems for) will rise from 67 hours (~9 workdays) to up to ~250 hours (~34 workdays) by 2040. Figure 1. Humidity levels as a function of projected weather data in Copenhagen, Denmark compared to the Danish design reference year [2], [3], [4]. At the same time, rising temperatures and humidity will impact our perception of heat. Higher humidity makes it harder for the skin to dissipate heat. When combined with high temperatures, heat transfers from the air to the skin, making us feel significantly warmer. Both existing and future buildings must adapt to significantly different conditions than what we are used to. Failing to account for the warmer and more humid weather, will have detrimental consequences for the indoor climate and the cooling and ventilation systems we rely on. Homeowners are already grappling with warmer and more humid weather. If anyone doubts that these changes affect the indoor climate of our buildings, they need only ask homeowners. In the survey ‘Danskerne i det byggede miljø’ [5], conducted by Realdania and Videnscentret Bolius, over 12% of residents in homes built after 2000 report that their homes are too hot. Especially during the summer, overheating is a real issue. The challenge lies in larger window areas present in new buildings and changes in architectural preferences, which do not provide the same opportunities for natural ventilation and solar shading as older homes do. Mechanical ventilation and cooling are not common practice in Danish homes. Therefore, the indoor climate challenges, in newer residential construction, cannot be directly compared to large-scale buildings. However, it does emphasize the consequences of a changing climate on our indoor environment and the need for change in design approaches. Historical weather data does not consider climate change. Despite projections showing our climatic future, we still use 10-year-old historical weather data when designing cooling and ventilation systems. While we gradually adjust the standards we design for, the changes are insufficient given the climate shifts we anticipate. We risk having buildings where cooling and ventilation systems cannot maintain satisfactory air quality and humidity levels for their intended use. The consequence is overheating. This poses problems for building occupants, affecting well-being, health, and cognition. It’s also a challenge for building operators, as operating undersized systems becomes more expensive. Lastly, it’s an environmental concern because energy-intensive systems consume more than they should. Consider an average office building as an example. Calculations suggest that without other adjustments, we should increase the size of cooling surfaces in ventilation systems by up to 25% and enhance cooling system efficiency by up to 50% by 2040 compared to current Danish standards. Even by 2030, within the lifespan of new installations, the increase is significant. In some cases, simply increasing performance won’t suffice. In extreme cases, existing systems may need improvement or complete replacement with more powerful ones to handle future weather conditions. On the other hand, undersized cooling and ventilation systems are costly to operate due to high energy expenses and maintenance costs. The solution is a climate resilient design. Climate resilience refers to the ability of the designed systems and assets to withstand shocks and stresses as well as the
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